Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.418296 0.492677 0.574572 0.671173 0.781738 0.904053 1.049324
2024-10-20 0.297457 0.393659 0.510400 0.661362 0.850151 1.077094 1.369040
2024-10-27 0.222748 0.326483 0.463389 0.654693 0.912045 1.242819 1.696048
2024-11-03 0.178836 0.286654 0.439662 0.667980 0.994327 1.437327 2.075888
2024-11-10 0.145779 0.253556 0.416856 0.675137 1.064349 1.618048 2.451201
2024-11-17 0.120117 0.225463 0.395015 0.677737 1.124408 1.786701 2.821318
2024-11-24 0.101879 0.205208 0.380971 0.688375 1.194932 1.973901 3.231211
2024-12-01 0.086041 0.185558 0.364056 0.690653 1.250442 2.140765 3.621496
2024-12-08 0.069581 0.161068 0.334327 0.666157 1.257744 2.230555 3.896746
2024-12-15 0.062216 0.152871 0.332522 0.689800 1.347537 2.458680 4.407212
2024-12-22 0.055211 0.143889 0.327601 0.706523 1.425918 2.672793 4.908635
2024-12-29 0.051815 0.142135 0.336547 0.750214 1.556301 2.983866 5.591813
2025-01-05 0.044034 0.128773 0.320024 0.742794 1.593122 3.138698 6.025993
2025-01-12 0.037289 0.116353 0.303484 0.733108 1.624529 3.286385 6.458796
2025-01-19 0.031817 0.105826 0.289302 0.726204 1.660079 3.443434 6.917919
2025-01-26 0.028430 0.100138 0.285386 0.740908 1.740167 3.688530 7.551786
2025-02-02 0.025127 0.093837 0.278887 0.748805 1.806559 3.911822 8.158876
2025-02-09 0.022036 0.087337 0.270740 0.751676 1.862201 4.117656 8.745243
2025-02-16 0.019720 0.082674 0.266561 0.763333 1.937670 4.367254 9.429379
2025-02-23 0.017353 0.077153 0.259082 0.765831 1.992779 4.579278 10.052696
2025-03-02 0.014360 0.068444 0.241005 0.739007 1.978433 4.647858 10.397429
2025-03-09 0.013329 0.066771 0.243126 0.764899 2.088630 4.982277 11.291184
2025-03-16 0.012187 0.064312 0.242452 0.783206 2.182337 5.287507 12.141987